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The market has not picked a winner yet

11 August 20262 min read
StablecoinsTokenized DepositsBankingGENIUS Act

If you run a community bank or credit union, it can feel like the largest institutions have already worked out their digital-dollar strategy and everyone else is playing catch-up.

They haven't.

There is a real exception. SoFi Bank has launched SoFiUSD, a bank-issued dollar stablecoin available on public blockchains and through its own banking app. But look across the rest of the industry and the picture is far less settled.

JPMorgan's deposit token is explicitly a deposit token rather than a payment stablecoin. Wells Fargo announced tokenized deposits in August, starting this autumn with a single currency corridor on its own platform. Bank of America is still evaluating. Meanwhile seventeen institutions are backing The Clearing House's on-chain money initiative, and the Cari tokenized deposit network has grown past thirty participating banks.

The overlap is more interesting than any single project.

Some of the same institutions are building their own infrastructure, joining shared networks, evaluating stablecoins and developing tokenized deposits at the same time. Banks with billions to spend on this are deliberately keeping several options open, which tells you the market has not picked a winner.

Stablecoins, tokenized deposits, institution-specific dollars and shared bank networks are all being tested simultaneously. The largest banks are not waiting to be told which model wins. They are building enough optionality to move whichever way it goes.

For a smaller institution that should change how the conversation feels. You are not behind because you haven't launched something. Most of the industry is still working out what the right architecture looks like.

But the calendar is tighter than it appears. The GENIUS Act takes effect no later than 18 January 2027, and potentially sooner if final rules land earlier. There is a difference between not being late and having unlimited time.

Being early here doesn't mean being first to put a token on a blockchain. It means having already worked out what your institution's role is when dollars move on programmable rails.

Do you issue? Do you distribute? Do you tokenize deposits? Do you join a network? And in each of those, what happens to the deposit?

Those are decisions worth making before the market makes them for you.

Written by Paul Grey — building from New Zealand.